Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.320646 3.686498 4.083041 4.545942 5.072921 5.655847 6.351758
2025-05-18 2.802258 3.294009 3.864834 4.580843 5.461114 6.515923 7.887482
2025-05-25 2.398093 2.934163 3.587381 4.450421 5.573380 7.002655 8.988010
2025-06-01 2.138497 2.701408 3.414585 4.397601 5.738206 7.533477 10.172928
2025-06-08 1.946380 2.525725 3.284367 4.368773 5.909380 8.067226 11.405861
2025-06-15 1.852268 2.465061 3.292927 4.518116 6.328965 8.979489 13.294432
2025-06-22 1.719951 2.337397 3.193522 4.498153 6.492486 9.524547 14.685506
2025-06-29 1.598645 2.213280 3.085487 4.450066 6.600849 9.986801 15.994226
2025-07-06 1.444493 2.029366 2.874703 4.225293 6.407054 9.940419 16.426780
2025-07-13 1.373188 1.961119 2.828590 4.247896 6.606007 10.551673 18.088711
2025-07-20 1.323593 1.921041 2.820684 4.327846 6.903502 11.358032 20.221369
2025-07-27 1.279976 1.886424 2.817515 4.413189 7.215558 12.221459 22.592642
2025-08-03 1.228199 1.837127 2.789797 4.459083 7.470630 13.026050 25.014072
2025-08-10 1.177366 1.785930 2.755193 4.489945 7.701699 13.814682 27.545582
2025-08-17 1.100465 1.687651 2.636057 4.362103 7.624145 13.990362 28.762294
2025-08-24 1.044504 1.620100 2.563417 4.310454 7.684340 14.445966 30.690826
2025-08-31 0.997314 1.564187 2.506584 4.282295 7.786078 14.997349 32.944071
2025-09-07 0.982824 1.562239 2.542283 4.428100 8.248457 16.374165 37.508807
2025-09-14 0.942738 1.514035 2.493316 4.408611 8.369380 17.015031 40.308065
2025-09-21 0.901359 1.461261 2.432803 4.361664 8.427233 17.518907 42.840575
2025-09-28 0.837473 1.365861 2.289903 4.142187 8.094605 17.072956 42.627942
2025-10-05 0.812342 1.337882 2.268720 4.164260 8.291606 17.914108 46.314944
2025-10-12 0.796340 1.325302 2.275084 4.242330 8.620812 19.123002 51.390729